Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-05 0.000698 0.000792 0.000892 0.001005 0.001129 0.001261 0.001411
2025-10-12 0.000558 0.000690 0.000840 0.001019 0.001228 0.001463 0.001746
2025-10-19 0.000471 0.000619 0.000793 0.001011 0.001276 0.001583 0.001964
2025-10-26 0.000402 0.000558 0.000749 0.000997 0.001308 0.001680 0.002153
2025-11-02 0.000358 0.000521 0.000728 0.001006 0.001363 0.001801 0.002371
2025-11-09 0.000319 0.000486 0.000705 0.001007 0.001406 0.001905 0.002568
2025-11-16 0.000275 0.000438 0.000660 0.000975 0.001400 0.001945 0.002683
2025-11-23 0.000239 0.000399 0.000623 0.000949 0.001401 0.001991 0.002803
2025-11-30 0.000215 0.000374 0.000603 0.000945 0.001428 0.002070 0.002968
2025-12-07 0.000195 0.000353 0.000587 0.000945 0.001460 0.002155 0.003141
2025-12-14 0.000175 0.000329 0.000566 0.000935 0.001476 0.002218 0.003285
2025-12-21 0.000156 0.000306 0.000542 0.000920 0.001484 0.002268 0.003412
2025-12-28 0.000148 0.000301 0.000547 0.000947 0.001554 0.002409 0.003667
2026-01-04 0.000139 0.000293 0.000545 0.000964 0.001609 0.002529 0.003897
2026-01-11 0.000126 0.000275 0.000528 0.000956 0.001626 0.002594 0.004050
2026-01-18 0.000113 0.000257 0.000508 0.000942 0.001633 0.002646 0.004185
2026-01-25 0.000105 0.000248 0.000503 0.000951 0.001674 0.002746 0.004391
2026-02-01 0.000097 0.000237 0.000493 0.000952 0.001704 0.002830 0.004574
2026-02-08 0.000084 0.000217 0.000465 0.000921 0.001680 0.002833 0.004640
2026-02-15 0.000074 0.000200 0.000442 0.000897 0.001666 0.002850 0.004724
2026-02-22 0.000068 0.000190 0.000432 0.000893 0.001685 0.002916 0.004883
2026-03-01 0.000062 0.000182 0.000423 0.000892 0.001709 0.002991 0.005057
2026-03-08 0.000056 0.000171 0.000410 0.000883 0.001717 0.003041 0.005191